據(jù)道瓊斯5月18日消息，雖然油價的短期前景強勁，但麥格理集團的研究分析師預計下半年油價將有所回落。第二季度到目前為止，全球基準布倫特原油均價為107美元/桶，但麥格理表示，來自歐佩克和其他國家的石油供應可能增加，這將對下半年的油價造成壓力。麥格理表示：“我們維持65美元/桶的長期假設，但到達這個價位可能要從2023年第一季度推遲到2024年第一季度?！?/p>

龐曉華 摘譯自 道瓊斯

原文如下：

Oil Prices Likely to Fade in 2H as Supply Grows

While the near-term outlook for oil prices is strong, Macquarie's research analysts expect prices to fade in 2H. Brent crude--the global benchmark--has averaged $107/bbl in 2Q so far but a likely increase in oil supply from OPEC and other countries,should weigh on prices in 2H, Macquarie says. "We maintain our long-term assumption of $65/bbl but defer this to 1Q of 2024 [from 1Q of 2023]," Macquarie says.